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JOINT VIENNA
MACROECONOMICS
SEMINAR |
INVITATION |
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R E M I N D E R
The Joint Vienna Institute and the Department of Economics and Finance at the Institute for Advanced Studies cordially invite you to the following Joint Vienna Macroeconomics Seminar
Tuesday, January 19, 2016
Institute for Advanced Studies
Josefstädter Straße 39, 1080 Vienna
Lecture Room E02, ground floor
5:00 pm
University of Cambridge
Unemployment (Fears) and Deflationary Spirals
Abstract: The interaction of incomplete markets and sticky nominal wages is shown to magnify business cycles even though these two features – in isolation – dampen them. During recessions, fears of unemployment stir up precautionary sentiments which induces
agents to save more. The additional savings may be used as investments in both a productive asset (equity) and an unproductive asset (money). But even a small rise in money demand has important consequences. The desire to hold money puts deflationary pressure
on the economy, which, provided that nominal wages are sticky, increases wage costs and reduces firm profits. Lower profits repress the desire to save in equity, which increases (the fear of) unemployment, and so on. This is a powerful mechanism which causes
the model to behave differently from both its complete markets version, and a version with incomplete markets but without aggregate uncertainty. In contrast to previous results in the literature, agents uniformly prefer non - trivial levels of unemployment
insurance.
Paper jointly with Wouter Den Haan and Markus Riegler
We are looking forward to seeing you!
Institute for Advanced Studies
Department of Economics and Finance
Josefstädter Straße 39, 1080 Vienna, Austria
Tel.: +43 1 599 91 145
e-Mail:
economics@ihs.ac.at
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