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VIENNA JOINT
ECONOMICS
SEMINAR |
INVITATION |
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The University of Vienna and the Institute for Advanced Studies cordially invite you to the following Vienna Joint Economics Seminar
Thursday, March 30, 2017
University of Vienna, Oskar-Morgenstern-Platz 1, 1090 Vienna,
VGSE seminar room , 3rd floor
1:15 pm Antonella Trigari
Università Bocconi
Unemployment Fluctuations, Match Quality, and the Wage Cyclicality of New Hires
Macroeconomic models often incorporate some form of wage stickiness to help account for employment fluctuations. However, a recent literature calls in to question this approach, citing evidence of new hire wage
cyclicality from panel data studies as evidence for contractual wage flexibility for new hires, which is the relevant margin for employment volatility. We analyze data from the SIPP and find that the wages for new hires coming from unemployment are no more
cyclical than those of existing workers, suggesting wages are sticky at the relevant margin. The new hire wage cyclicality found in earlier studies instead appears to reflect cyclical average wage gains of workers making job-to-job transitions, which we interpret
as evidence of procyclical match quality for new hires from employment. We then develop a quantitative general equilibrium model with sticky wages via staggered contracting, on-the-job search, and variable match quality, and show that it can account for both
the panel data evidence and aggregate labor market regularities. An additional implication of the model is that a sullying effect of recessions emerges, along the lines originally suggested by Barlevy (2002).
paper jointly Mark Gertler and Christopher Huckfeldt
We are looking forward to seeing you!
Institute for Advanced Studies
Josefstädter Straße 39, 1080 Vienna, Austria
Tel.: +43 1 599 91 232
e-Mail: economics@ihs.ac.at
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