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VIENNA JOINT

ECONOMICS

SEMINAR

INVITATION

 

The University of Vienna and the Institute for Advanced Studies cordially invite you to the following Vienna Joint Economics Seminar

Thursday, March 30, 2017

University of Vienna, Oskar-Morgenstern-Platz 1, 1090 Vienna,

VGSE seminar room , 3rd floor

1:15 pm

 

Antonella Trigari

Università Bocconi

 

Unemployment Fluctuations, Match Quality, and the Wage Cyclicality of New Hires  

 

Macroeconomic models often incorporate some form of wage stickiness to help account for employment fluctuations. However, a recent literature calls in to question this approach, citing evidence of new hire wage cyclicality from panel data studies as evidence for contractual wage flexibility for new hires, which is the relevant margin for employment volatility. We analyze data from the SIPP and find that the wages for new hires coming from unemployment are no more cyclical than those of existing workers, suggesting wages are sticky at the relevant margin. The new hire wage cyclicality found in earlier studies instead appears to reflect cyclical average wage gains of workers making job-to-job transitions, which we interpret as evidence of procyclical match quality for new hires from employment. We then develop a quantitative general equilibrium model with sticky wages via staggered contracting, on-the-job search, and variable match quality, and show that it can account for both the panel data evidence and aggregate labor market regularities. An additional implication of the model is that a sullying effect of recessions emerges, along the lines originally suggested by Barlevy (2002).

 

paper jointly Mark Gertler and Christopher Huckfeldt

 

We are looking forward to seeing you!

 

Institute for Advanced Studies

Josefstädter Straße 39, 1080 Vienna, Austria

Tel.: +43 1 599 91 232

e-Mail: economics@ihs.ac.at

http://www.ihs.ac.at

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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http://www.ihs.ac.at/vienna/resources/Economics/Others/twitter-bird-white-on-blue.pngInstitute for Advanced Studies @IHS_Vienna

      

 

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