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We are pleased to announce that registration is now open for the forthcoming
SUERF – ECB – Bank of Finland– Bank of Italy – OeNB workshop on "Challenges and Recent Advances in Modelling and Forecasting Inflation"
, to be held virtually on
Monday, 28 November 2022.
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CET
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Agenda
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14:00
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Opening and welcome: Ernest Gnan, SUERF
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Session 1 –
Inflation forecasting: learning from errors, what if there is a regime change?
Chair:
Juha Kilponen, Bank of Finland
The usefulness of inflation indicators depending on the inflation regime
Benoit Mojon, BIS
The bias of the ECB inflation
projections: a state dependent analysis
Pirkka Jalasjoki, Bank of Finland
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14:50
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Session 2 –
Inflation perceptions/expectations: role for inflation modeling and forecasting
Chair: Matthieu Darracq Paries, ECB
New avenues to incorporate inflation expectations into forecasting models - state of work at the ECB
Marta Bańbura, ECB
Whose Inflation Expectations Best Predict Inflation?
Randal J Verbrugge, Saeed Zaman, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
Is Trend Inflation at Risk of Becoming Unanchored? The Role of Inflation Expectations
Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia, Francesca Loria, Federal Reserve Board
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15:40
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Virtual Break
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15:50
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Session 3 –
Inflation forecasting: new avenues for improvement
Chair: Alessandro Notarpietro, Banca d’Italia
Forecasting UK inflation bottom up
Andreas Joseph, Bank of England
Forecasting US Inflation using Bayesian Nonparametric Models
Massimiliano Marcellino, Bocconi University
Todd Clark, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
The demand and supply of information about inflation
Dalibor Stevanovic, Université du Québec à Montréal, CIRANO
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16:40
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Session 4 –
Inflation dynamics and large supply shocks
Chair: Deniz Igan,
BIS and SUERF
Inflation Expectations and the Supply Chain
Emiliano Luttini, Central Bank of Chile
Global Supply Chain Pressures, International Trade, and Inflation
Muhammed A Yildirim, Koç University
Pass through of energy prices to inflation in the euro area: implications for current modelling practices?
Francesco Corsello, Banca d’Italia
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17:30
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End
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To participate, please register by using the following
LINK.
Feel free to share this invitation with colleagues who might be interested to attend!
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On behalf of the program committee and the co-organizing institutions,
We look forward to your participation!
www.suerf.org/modelling_forecastinginflation
Program Committee
Matthieu Darracq Paries, ECB,
Ernest Gnan, SUERF, Juha Kilponen, Bank of Finland, Karin Klieber, OeNB,
Alessandro Notarpietro, Banca d’Italia, Fabio Rumler, OeNB, and
Mirjam Salish, OeNB
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