WIC Hybrid Colloquium
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Elke Loichinger
Federal Statistical Office of Germany
Fertility decline, changes in age structure, and the potential for demographic dividends: A global analysis
Wednesday, 26 June 2024
11:00 – 12:00 (CEST)
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The hybrid seminar will be held in person at
Austrian Academy of Sciences, Alte Burse, Sonnenfelsgasse 19, 1010 Vienna
and online via Zoom.
Please register here: https://www.oeaw.ac.at/vid/events/wic-colloquium/wic-colloquium-registration
Login information for online participation will be sent to all registered participants shortly before the start of the presentation.
Abstract:
The demographic dividend describes the economic growth potential based on shifts towards a large share of working-age population in the course of the demographic transition.
Given the relevance of this age-group, in the presented analyses we identify and describe past, present, and future global patterns in changes in the share of the working-age population and detect associated demographic factors. We perform our analyses for
148 countries, making use of data from the UN World Population Prospects 2022 (1950‒2100). Our results reveal distinct trajectories of changes in the share of working-age population for the past and also for the future. In addition to fertility characteristics,
changes in the share of working-age population are associated with migration and population momentum – two factors that are not receiving enough attention in current discussions about the potential for future demographic dividends.
About the presenter:
Elke Loichinger is heading the unit “Demographic Analyses and Model Calculations, Natural Population Change” at the Federal Statistical Office of Germany. Her research
covers various aspects of population ageing, global demographic trends, and national and sub-national population projections. She previously held positions at the Federal Institute for Population Research (BiB) in Wiesbaden, at Chulalongkorn University in
Bangkok, the Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital (WIC) in Vienna, and the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research in Rostock.
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PLEASE SEE https://www.oeaw.ac.at/vid/events/wic-colloquium FOR
OUR UPCOMING AND PREVIOUS COLLOQUIA
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