Dear colleagues,

The Department of Economics cordially invites you to the WU Economics Research Seminar on Wednesday, December 7^th, with

Karin Mayr-Dorn

(University of Linz)

on

“Trade diversion and labor market adjustment: Vietnam and the U.S.-China trade war”

Abstract: This paper investigates the effects of the U.S.-China trade war on trade diversion and the labor market in a third country, Vietnam. We exploit variation in Vietnamese exports to the U.S. across industries and districts based on the extent of the unexpected and exogenous U.S. tariff hikes on Chinese imports and provide evidence of an indirect effect on labor market outcomes in Vietnam. Vietnamese workers and districts that are more exposed to the trade war display higher employment, working hours, and wages as a result of the U.S.-China trade war. Our findings reveal that bilateral trade policy can have substantial offsetting effects on trade flows and labor markets in third countries.

Date: Wednesday, December 7^th

Time: 3.00 to 4.30 pm (CET)

Location: building TC, 4^th floor, room TC.4.13

With best regards,

Harald Oberhofer

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Univ.-Prof. Dr. Harald Oberhofer

Department of Economics 

WU Vienna University of Economics and Business

Phone: +43/1/31336-4984

Email: harald.oberhofer@wu.ac.at

Webpage: https://www.wu.ac.at/ie/mitarbeiter/harald-oberhofer/

Austrian Institute of Economic Research (WIFO)

Phone: +43/1/7982601-468

Email: harald.oberhofer@wifo.ac.at

Webpage: http://www.wifo.ac.at/harald_oberhofer