[cid:image002.png@01D1AACF.C580CD80] ECONOMETRICS RESEARCH SEMINAR INVITATION The Institute for Advanced Studies cordially invites you to the following Econometrics Research Seminar <http://www.ihs.ac.at/vienna/resources/Economics/Papers/20130226_Paper_Zimmermann.pdf> Thursday, May 19, 2016 Institute for Advanced Studies Josefstädter Straße 39, 1080 Vienna Lecture Room E02, ground floor 9:00 am (Please note that the seminar will start at 9 am sharp!) Martin Feldkircher<https://www.oenb.at/Geldpolitik/Forschung/Personen/Martin-Feldkircher.html> OeNB US Monetary Policy in a Globalized World<https://www.oenb.at/Publikationen/Volkswirtschaft/Working-Papers/2016/working-paper-205.html> We analyze the interaction between monetary policy in the US and the global economy proposing a new class of Bayesian global vector autoregressive models that accounts for time-varying parameters and stochastic volatility (TVP-SV-GVAR). We find that a contractionary US monetary policy shock leads to a persistent fall in international output, a drop in global inflation rates, a rise in international interest rates and a strengthening of the US dollar in real terms. There is considerable evidence for heterogeneity of spillovers across countries, as well as for changes in the transmission of monetary policy shocks over time. We also examine the reverse question, namely how US monetary policy responds to international shocks. Here we find that US short-term rates decrease significantly in response to a monetary policy tightening abroad or a negative shock to foreign real GDP growth. Paper jointly with Jesús Crespo Cuaresma, Gernot Doppelhofer, Florian Huber We are looking forward to seeing you! Institute for Advanced Studies Josefstädter Straße 39, 1080 Vienna, Austria Tel.: +43 1 599 91 145 e-Mail: economics@ihs.ac.at<mailto:economics@ihs.ac.at> http://economics.ihs.ac.at<http://economics.ihs.ac.at/> LINKS DIRECTIONS TO IHS on Google maps<https://www.google.at/maps/place/Institut+f%C3%BCr+H%C3%B6here+Studien/@48.2096845,16.3476134,15z/data=!4m2!3m1!1s0x0:0x86d55731043062b7> ECONOMICS SEMINARS <https://www.google.com/calendar/embed?src=o7e40khrmr1vn2lo20mhbe539g%40group.calendar.google.com&ctz=Europe/Vienna> IN VIENNA<https://www.google.com/calendar/embed?src=o7e40khrmr1vn2lo20mhbe539g%40group.calendar.google.com&ctz=Europe/Vienna> on Google calendar<https://www.google.com/calendar/embed?src=o7e40khrmr1vn2lo20mhbe539g%40group.calendar.google.com&ctz=Europe/Vienna> [cid:image004.jpg@01CEBF6B.00DB9700]<http://economics.ihs.ac.at/> [http://www.ihs.ac.at/vienna/resources/Economics/Others/twitter-bird-white-on-blue.png]<https://twitter.com/IHS_Vienna>Institute for Advanced Studies @IHS_Vienna<https://twitter.com/IHS_Vienna> Diese Zusendung erfolgt entsprechend den Bestimmungen des TKG 247107. Sollten Sie keine weiteren Zusendungen wuenschen, senden Sie uns bitte eine kurze Mitteilung an: economics@ihs.ac.at<mailto:economics@ihs.ac.at>. If you do not want to receive our mailings please send an e-mail to: economics@ihs.ac.at<mailto:economics@ihs.ac.at>. Also sent to noeg-l@wu.ac.at<mailto:noeg-l@wu.ac.at> (https://mailman.wu.ac.at/mailman/listinfo/noeg-l).