View this email in your browser [https://wiiw.ac.at/files/mailings/event-202102181145-en.html] _in cooperation with _ [Research Centre International Economics (FIW)] [http://fiw.ac.at/index.php?id=1&L=3] Dear colleague, we cordially invite you to the following event: PREDICTING EXPORTERS WITH MACHINE LEARNING (ONLINE EVENT) ARMANDO RUNGI IMT School for Advanced Studies Lucca THURSDAY, 4 MARCH 2021, 3:00 PM (15:00 CET) This is an online event via Zoom. Please register for the dial-in link, reminders and e-mail updates. The dial-in link will be sent to you shortly before the event. FIW-wiiw Seminars in International Economics [https://wiiw.ac.at/fiw-wiiw-seminars-in-international-economics-es-6.html] _The presentation is based on a paper with the same title co-authored with Francesca Micocci._ ABSTRACT: In this contribution, we exploit machine learning techniques to predict a firm’s ability to export. In a pure prediction framework, we train a Bayesian Additive Regression Tree (BART) on the financial accounts of 57,021 manufacturing firms in France in the period 2010-2018. We obtain a relatively high accuracy of prediction, with a precision-recall at 0.91. Then, we show how predictions could be of help in assessing a firm-level exporting score, i.e., the distance of a firm from export status. We argue our exporting score has the potential to inform target-specific and evidence-based policies of internationalization. _The presentation, when available, will be posted online after the event._ ARMANDO RUNGI is an Assistant Professor of Industrial Organization and International Trade at IMT Lucca, working for the research unit AXES (Analysis of Complex Economic Systems). He obtained his PhD at the Bocconi University, where he also graduated in international economics. WE KINDLY ASK YOU TO REGISTER [https://wiiw.ac.at/bc-e-er-503.html] for the event. Best regards, Mahdi Ghodsi [https://wiiw.ac.at/mahdi-ghodsi-s-1042.html] _Organiser_ Robert Stehrer [https://wiiw.ac.at/robert-stehrer-s-16.html] _Scientific Director_ wiiw The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies Rahlgasse 3, 1060 Vienna, Austria wiiw@wiiw.ac.at, wiiw.ac.at [https://wiiw.ac.at] T: +43 1 533 66 10 [tel:+4315336610] [https://www.facebook.com/wiiw.economic.studies] [https://www.twitter.com/wiiw_ac_at] [https://www.linkedin.com/company/vienna-institute-for-international-economic...] [https://www.youtube.com/c/wiiwacat] [https://wiiw.ac.at/rss.php] Copyright ©2021 wiiw, all rights reserved.
