Dear all, we kindly invite you to our next Economic Theory & Policy talk on Mon, 1st of June, 2026, 4:00 PM - TU Wien, Sem.R. DA green 04 (Freihaus Building, 4th floor, green area) Alena Wabitsch (WU) https://www.alenawabitsch.eu/ "Incentivizing Inflation Expectations" (co-authored with Sergii Drobot, Daniela Puzzello and Ryan Rholes) Accurate inflation expectations are central to economic modeling and policy. Yet major surveys elicit them without performance-based marginal incentives, despite their well-established importance to belief data quality in experimental economics. We show that marginal incentives raise effort and fundamentally reshape reported inflation expectations: lowering upward bias by 3.4 percentage points, reducing disagreement by one-third, closing the gender gap, and tripling learning rates in an RCT. Incentivized expectations are more consistent and better predict spending. Calibrating a simple New Keynesian model, we demonstrate that these differences matter: marginal incentives sharpen empirical inference and improve policy guidance - without increasing participant remuneration. Further events: https://www.tuwien.at/en/mg/econ/events Best, Julia Julia Hutter TU Wien Institute of Statistics and Mathematical Methods in Economics Research Group Economics Phone: +43 1 58801 10531 Mail: julia.hutter@tuwien.ac.at<mailto:julia.hutter@tuwien.ac.at> https://econ.tuwien.ac.at/